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No, The Denver Real Estate Market Is Not Crashing. It HAS, However, Changed

Shanna Schmidt  |  September 30, 2026

Contrary to popular belief, the Denver real estate market is not crashing. However, it HAS changed.

If you pay attention to Denver real estate news right now, you may be a little confused. Depending on what you read, the market is crashing, buyers have all the power, sellers are desperate, nobody is buying, inventory is piling up, interest rates are ruining everything, and we should probably all hide under our beds until 2027.

Meanwhile, we are sitting here with three recent closes, five properties under contract, and set to close out the best year in our business.

Soooo...what is actually happening?

The answer is not nearly as dramatic as the headlines would lead you to believe. The Denver metro real estate market isn't crashing. It is recalibrating. That is a significant difference.

In August, Denver Metro closed sales were down over 17% compared to last year. I admit that sounds fairly terrible all by itself. However, the median closed price was $594,495, which was essentially unchanged from August 2025. Active inventory was also basically flat YOY.

So yes, fewer homes are selling, but prices haven't fallen off a cliff. This is where real estate statistics get tricky. You can take one perfectly accurate number, put it in a scary headline and tell a story that isn't technically false, but also isn't particularly useful.

I am going to be very clear here. There is no single "Denver Market." We talk about "the Denver Metro market" as though a condo downtown, a $600,000 suburban house, and a $1.5M home in the foothills are all competing in the same market. Spoiler alert: they're not.

With one exception, every single property we've listed this year has gone under contract within the first two weekends on the market.

Our one exception hit the market at an absolutely terrible time and then experienced a string of unfortunate events nobody could have predicted. We've recently seen a lot more interest and a fresh pricing reduction, so stay tuned on that one because someone is about to have a pretty fantastic opportunity.

But I digress...our results don't mean every home will sell in two weekends, nor can we guarantee ours will continue to do so. What they DO tell me is good homes are still selling in this market. The difference is buyers don't have to buy the mediocre ones anymore.

There are a lot of properties sitting on the market right now that are overpriced, undesirable for one reason or another, poorly prepared, poorly presented, or some combination of the above. Buyers have enough choices to be picky...really picky. And if you think they're not taking advantage of this opportunity to be picky, you're wrong.

Buyers don't want your to-do list. This is probably the biggest thing we are experiencing with buyers right now. They don't want to buy your house and immediately start spending more money on it.

After coming up with a downpayment, closing costs, moving expenses, and everything else involved in buying a home, buyers don't particularly want to hear the furnace is on borrowed time, the roof will need to be replaced soon, and the carpet has "a few good years left."

No, Sir. They want move-in ready. More importantly, they want to feel reasonably confident the purchase itself is the big expense for the foreseeable future. We are seeing this play out during inspections, too. We are negotiating a LOT of inspection items right now, both for the buyers we represent and on our own listings.

Concessions are also very much part of today's market. Redfin reported seller concessions in 58.4% of Denver-area sales during the three months ending in August. Another analysis of August REcolorado closings across seven metro counties put the number at 60.8%, with a median concession of $10k.

You'll hear plenty about those concessions being used for rate buydowns, and financing strategy absolutely matters right now. What I cannot find is reliable Denver-specific data showing exactly what percentage of concessions are going toward rate buydowns versus closing costs, repairs, and everything else. As soon as I find this, I will provide a follow-up with more info. However, I am not going to make up a stat simply because it would look good in this post. 😏 Novel concept, I know.

Soooo...why are some homes still selling so quickly?

Three things we see work over and over again.

Price. Preparation. Presentation.

None of these are revolutionary. What has changed is how little room we have to get any of them wrong.

Pricing may be harder right now than at any point I can remember because we are trying to hit a moving target. We can't price backward because comparable sales tell us what buyers paid weeks or months ago under different conditions. We can't blindly price for today because today's perfect price could become overpriced surprisingly quickly. We also can't price too far ahead of a changing market and unnecessarily leave our sellers' money on the table.

Pricing is always a little tricky this time of year, but this year is exceptionally difficult.

It takes good data, intelligent comp adjustments, experience, and honest collaboration between sellers and their agents. Strategy is EVERYTHING.

Preparation matters as much as pricing because today's buyers are looking closely at what they'll need to spend after closing. The goal isn't to make your house perfect or remodel everything before you sell. The goal is to make smart decisions about repairs, maintenance, and improvements that remove unnecessary reasons for prospective buyers to say no.

Finally, that brings us to presentation - and this is where I get a little cranky.

Professional EVERYTHING!

No ugly cartoonish AI ads. No generic messaging and listing descriptions. No cell phone photos. No lazy or cheap anything.

Every property deserves marketing specifically designed around THAT property, its strongest features, current competition, and the buyers most likely to consider it.

We create a custom marketing plan for every listing because every listing is different. Professional photography matters SO much. How the property shows matters. Some homes show best vacant, some with tidy and tasteful homeowner furnishings, and others with professional staging. Timing matters. Launch strategy matters. How the home is positioned against its competition matters.

Putting a house in the MLS, uploading 37 mediocre photos, and hoping Zillow handles the rest isn't a marketing plan. Posting the same AI flyer every day for a month is not a marketing plan. Not ever, but especially not in this market.

Is it a bad time to sell? Honestly, I don't think that's the right question to be asking.

Yes, we are in a buyer's market in much of the Denver Metro area. That does not automatically make it a bad time to sell. There was almost certainly a better time to sell your house. There will probably be another better time at some point in the future. The same is true for buying. If you bought when rates were lower, you very likely paid more for the house. If you waited for prices to soften, you're dealing with higher rates. If you wait for rates to drop, you may find yourself competing with more buyers again...thus pushing up prices.

We don't get to know the perfect time until after it's gone. That is, unfortunately, true for anything. So...sell when selling makes sense for your life. Buy when buying makes sense for your life.

If now is your time, understand the market you're entering and make the most of it. For sellers, that means working together with your agent to make your home the best option at the best price for the buyers most likely to consider it. For buyers, it means recognizing where today's market may give you opportunities and negotiating intelligently when it does.

There are no guarantees because...life. There never have been, despite the COVID era when we all seemed to forget that when it came to real estate.

You can't control the market. I repeat...YOU CAN'T CONTROL THE MARKET. You can, however, control how you enter it and who you choose to walk through it with you.

Price. Preparation. Presentation. They all matter tremendously in this market. As does having the right partners (hint: Brad and I) beside you to make sense of the data, adjust when necessary, and make the most of whatever market you happen to buy or sell in.

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